From Kyodo's latest public opinion poll:
Which party or candidate from which party will you be voting for in this summer's House of Councillors election?
(all numbers are %)
New Komeito 3.9
Your Party 4.5
Green Breeze 0.4
Other party 1.3
No preference 19.2
T'is a funky question, since the two ballots choices are separate -- one for a prefectural district candidate, one for a party in the proportional seat vote.
Still, the numbers are daunting for any of the opposition parties. Simply put, unless there are district spaces set asides, such as the Liberal Democratic Party may do for its ally the New Komeito, the LDP could basically win all the district seats and two-thirds of the proportional seats.
Perversely, the 48.2% of voters who say they are voting for an LDP candidate in July is lower than the party allegiance numbers. In this latest poll 50.6% of respondents identified themselves as LDP supporters.
Try to figure that one out, over coffee, preferably.
New Zealand’s 2017 election prospects
6 hours ago