Over at GlobalTalk 21 Okumura Jun offers a simple and elegant solution to one of the perennial conundrums of Japanese politics, namely:
"Why do the results of the telephone surveys of public opinion reflect the political biases of the major news organizations conducting the poll?"
I encourage consideration of Mr. Okumura's conjecture.
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1 comment:
Interesting question and Mr. Okumura's hypothesis is intriguing as well - it makes sense at least. I had always just assumed question bias: the Asahi is likely to phrase questions differently from the Yomiuri, or even ask essentially different questions. Even when you know the bias is there, your answers will change.
I also wonder how random the surveys really are and, on that point, Okumura brings up a really good point: people are presumably more likely to talk to someone calling on behalf of the paper to which they already subscribe.
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